Juan Alejandro Hernandez vs Joao Graca Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Graca leads with a slight edge, winning 44.55% of second serve points compared to Hernandez's 43.44%. Does this minor difference suggest Graca might have an advantage? Slightly, but it's not definitive on its own.
• Return Game Stats: Hernandez shows stronger recent form, securing 47.92% of points on opponent's second serves versus Graca's 43.2%. Hernández also excels in first serve returns, with a success rate of 28.19% against Graca's 24.28%.
• Under Pressure Analysis: Graca proves more resilient, saving 52.74% of breakpoints compared to Hernandez's 42.24%, a significant factor when predicting match outcomes under pressure.
• Performance Overview: Over the last year, Hernandez has a marginally better win rate of 49.06% compared to Graca's 46.67%. Could this hint at Hernandez edging out Graca overall?
• Best Surface: Graca performs best on Clay with a 46% win rate, whereas Hernandez thrives on Hard courts, winning 53%. The surface could play a role if known.
• Player Level: Hernandez has played at a slightly higher event level, winning 57.69% of matches, compared to Graca's 50% at similar tournaments.
• Opponent Quality: Graca has faced tougher opponents, averaging a rank of 284.4, whereas Hernandez's opponents average at 352.94. Will this experience against stronger opponents be advantageous for Graca?
• Deciding Set Performance: If the match goes the distance, Graca holds an edge, winning 53% of deciding sets, while Hernandez lags behind at 33%.
• Break Point Conversion: Hernandez marginally outperforms Graca in break point conversion, with a rate of 33.99% compared to Graca's 32.91%.

Editorial Prediction (September 18, 2025, UTC):

Based on recent performance trends, Hernandez has shown superiority in return games, notably winning more points on opponents' serves. This could be critical in turning games to his favor.

Graca, however, demonstrates a stronger ability to handle pressure, with higher breakpoint saving stats and a proven track record in prevailing during deciding sets. These attributes might play a crucial role if the match becomes tightly contested.

Considering the quality of opponents and surface preferences, Graca might have faced tougher competition, potentially giving him an edge in grit and resilience.

In the upcoming match, while statistics hint at a closely fought battle, the prediction leans slightly towards Hernandez due to his superior return game and higher win percentage over the past year. However, Graca's ability to handle pressure could tip the scales if the match intensifies.